MLB · Tue, May 12, 2026
Chicago Cubs at Atlanta Braves
Final score: Chicago Cubs 2 – 5 Atlanta Braves. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 9 | 1.98 | +11.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.25 | +59.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dansby Swanson | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.34 | +53.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.72 | +42.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.02 | +33.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.92 | +31.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.31 | +29.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.89 | +25.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Austin Riley | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.81 | +23.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Colin Rea | Chicago Cubs | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.22 | +21.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Grant Holmes | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.26 | +21.1% | 5 | WIN |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.73 | +20.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +5.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.48 | +5.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Mike Yastrzemski | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.30 | +3.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.28 | +2.3% | 0 | LOSS |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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