MLB · Tue, May 12, 2026
Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates
Final score: Colorado Rockies 1 – 3 Pittsburgh Pirates. 19 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 3.79 | +13.7% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.89 | +8.6% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mickey Moniak | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.57 | +64.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| TJ Rumfield | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.94 | +61.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Paul Skenes | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.83 | +45.3% | 10 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.53 | +31.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.37 | +20.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.51 | +19.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Spencer Horwitz | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.85 | +15.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Konnor Griffin | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.74 | +15.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Troy Johnston | Colorado Rockies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.77 | +11.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Mickey Moniak | Colorado Rockies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.71 | +9.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.54 | +8.8% | 1 | WIN |
| TJ Rumfield | Colorado Rockies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.68 | +3.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Edouard Julien | Colorado Rockies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.93 | +3.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nick Gonzales | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +3.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Willi Castro | Colorado Rockies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.82 | +2.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +1.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.70 | +1.6% | 1 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.