MLB · Tue, May 12, 2026
Detroit Tigers at New York Mets
Final score: Detroit Tigers 2 – 10 New York Mets. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.29 | +10.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Workman | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.63 | +135.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.08 | +56.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Matt Vierling | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.77 | +53.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +21.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Gage Workman | Detroit Tigers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.20 | +18.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Freddy Peralta | New York Mets | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.69 | +17.6% | 7 | LOSS |
| Mark Vientos | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.83 | +13.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.68 | +9.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Jack Flaherty | Detroit Tigers | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.97 | +8.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Colt Keith | Detroit Tigers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.72 | +2.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Colt Keith | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.29 | +1.8% | 0 | WIN |
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