MLB · Tue, May 12, 2026
Los Angeles Angels at Cleveland Guardians
Final score: Los Angeles Angels 2 – 3 Cleveland Guardians. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.19 | +1.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler | Los Angeles Angels | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.87 | +45.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.23 | +40.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Sebastian Rivero | Los Angeles Angels | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.15 | +37.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Walbert Urena | Los Angeles Angels | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.93 | +33.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Jo Adell | Los Angeles Angels | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.01 | +30.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Nolan Schanuel | Los Angeles Angels | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.22 | +30.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.21 | +30.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.20 | +29.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.73 | +28.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +12.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Mike Trout | Los Angeles Angels | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.61 | +11.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.36 | +6.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Sebastian Rivero | Los Angeles Angels | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.28 | +2.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Yoan Moncada | Los Angeles Angels | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.39 | +2.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.33 | +0.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Jo Adell | Los Angeles Angels | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.55 | +0.2% | 0 | LOSS |
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