MLB · Fri, May 15, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 7 – 6 Cleveland Guardians. 6 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.05 | +30.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Will Benson | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.00 | +28.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Tanner Bibee | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.68 | +22.1% | 2 | WIN |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.76 | +8.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.52 | +3.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Andrew Abbott | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.14 | +1.3% | 2 | LOSS |
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