MLB · Fri, May 15, 2026
Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers
Final score: Toronto Blue Jays 2 – 3 Detroit Tigers. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.08 | +0.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Workman | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.50 | +90.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ty Madden | Detroit Tigers | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.30 | +51.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.94 | +48.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andres Gimenez | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.20 | +39.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.46 | +14.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.74 | +9.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.58 | +6.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Colt Keith | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.31 | +5.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Trey Yesavage | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.86 | +2.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| Gage Workman | Detroit Tigers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.81 | +2.3% | 0 | LOSS |
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