MLB · Sat, May 16, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 4 – 7 Cleveland Guardians. 4 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.49 | +6.7% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benson | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.13 | +38.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +16.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.55 | +5.0% | 1 | WIN |
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