MLB · Sun, May 17, 2026
San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners
Final score: San Diego Padres 8 – 3 Seattle Mariners. 6 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.92 | +1.5% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.35 | +1.0% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.08 | +32.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Leo Rivas | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.73 | +13.4% | 0 | WIN |
| George Kirby | Seattle Mariners | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.78 | +0.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| Randy Arozarena | Seattle Mariners | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.54 | +0.4% | 0 | LOSS |
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