MLB · Mon, May 18, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 4 – 5 Philadelphia Phillies. 5 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 9.5 | 1.95 | +3.4% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.36 | +47.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Nick Lodolo | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.94 | +12.7% | 3 | WIN |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +9.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.48 | +0.5% | 0 | LOSS |
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