MLB · Tue, May 19, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 4 – 1 Philadelphia Phillies. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.19 | +0.1% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane Myers | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.47 | +54.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.11 | +33.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Jesus Luzardo | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 2.18 | +26.0% | 5 | WIN |
| Chase Burns | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.81 | +14.9% | 9 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +8.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.52 | +2.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.67 | +1.0% | 1 | WIN |
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