MLB · Tue, May 19, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 6 – 9 St. Louis Cardinals. 4 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.88 | +5.4% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +9.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Konnor Griffin | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +9.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Mitch Keller | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.97 | +4.0% | 3 | LOSS |
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