MLB · Wed, May 20, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 9 – 4 Philadelphia Phillies. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 10 | 1.89 | +6.3% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.19 | +0.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benson | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.36 | +56.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Otto Kemp | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.15 | +44.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +5.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Aaron Nola | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.85 | +4.4% | 5 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.53 | +1.8% | 2 | WIN |
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