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MLB · Wed, May 20, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 9 · 4 Philadelphia Phillies. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 10 | 1.89 | +6.3% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.19 | +0.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benson | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.36 | +56.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Otto Kemp | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.15 | +44.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Will Benson | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.58 | +32.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +31.9% | 3 | WIN |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +28.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.76 | +13.3% | n/a | PUSH |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.06 | +12.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Spencer Steer | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.42 | +10.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +8.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +5.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Adolis Garcia | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +5.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Aaron Nola | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.85 | +4.4% | 5 | WIN |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +3.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.76 | +1.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.53 | +1.8% | 2 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Philadelphia Phillies or Cincinnati Reds that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Oct 2, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 36.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 26 | 50.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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