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MLB · Thu, May 21, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 3 · 1 Detroit Tigers. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7 | 1.80 | +3.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.64 | +54.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Angel Martinez | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.28 | +39.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.95 | +39.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.80 | +29.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Casey Mize | Detroit Tigers | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.86 | +20.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| Jahmai Jones | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.74 | +15.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.75 | +12.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Zack Short | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.57 | +12.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.64 | +10.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.39 | +8.1% | 6 | WIN |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +0.5% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Detroit Tigers or Cleveland Guardians that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Oct 20, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 15, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 25 | 20.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 14, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 22 | 27.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 13, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians | 31 | 19.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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