MLB · Thu, May 21, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 3 – 1 Detroit Tigers. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7 | 1.80 | +3.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.64 | +54.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Angel Martinez | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.28 | +39.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.95 | +39.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.80 | +29.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Casey Mize | Detroit Tigers | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.86 | +20.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| Jahmai Jones | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.74 | +15.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.75 | +12.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Zack Short | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.57 | +12.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.64 | +10.5% | 0 | LOSS |
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