MLB · Fri, May 22, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 1 – 0 Philadelphia Phillies. 6 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7 | 2.00 | +9.6% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.52 | +7.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.59 | +6.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.78 | +6.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.75 | +6.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +5.7% | 0 | WIN |
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