MLB · Sat, May 23, 2026
Athletics at San Diego Padres
Final score: Athletics 3 – 7 San Diego Padres. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.13 | +2.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Kurtz | Athletics | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.92 | +48.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.21 | +44.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Brent Rooker | Athletics | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.87 | +41.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Zack Gelof | Athletics | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.48 | +38.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nick Castellanos | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.08 | +32.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Shea Langeliers | Athletics | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.75 | +22.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Walker Buehler | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.13 | +10.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| Jeffrey Springs | Athletics | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.88 | +7.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.26 | +6.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Shea Langeliers | Athletics | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.46 | +3.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Carlos Cortes | Athletics | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.64 | +1.0% | 1 | WIN |
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