MLB · Sat, May 23, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 0 – 3 Philadelphia Phillies. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.63 | +9.9% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 2.02 | +5.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slade Cecconi | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.21 | +14.9% | 5 | WIN |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.78 | +13.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.81 | +7.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.79 | +7.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.67 | +1.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.50 | +0.5% | 0 | LOSS |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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