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MLB · Sat, May 23, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 0 · 3 Philadelphia Phillies. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.63 | +9.9% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 2.02 | +5.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.88 | +19.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +15.9% | 3 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.45 | +15.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Slade Cecconi | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.21 | +14.9% | 5 | WIN |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.78 | +13.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.81 | +7.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.79 | +7.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.67 | +1.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.50 | +0.5% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Philadelphia Phillies or Cleveland Guardians that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Oct 20, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 15, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 25 | 20.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 14, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 22 | 27.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 13, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians | 31 | 19.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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