MLB · Mon, May 25, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at New York Mets
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 7 – 2 New York Mets. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.93 | +13.9% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.32 | +77.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.15 | +51.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.20 | +43.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.92 | +38.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tyrone Taylor | New York Mets | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.23 | +38.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Nolan McLean | New York Mets | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.65 | +16.3% | 6 | WIN |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +15.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.82 | +13.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Blake Dunn | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.76 | +4.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mark Vientos | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.53 | +2.1% | 0 | LOSS |
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