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MLB · Mon, May 25, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles
Final score: Tampa Bay Rays 7 · 9 Baltimore Orioles. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.86 | +8.9% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.74 | +6.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.11 | +31.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.41 | +25.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Adley Rutschman | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.44 | +25.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +21.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +21.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Shane McClanahan | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 2.05 | +13.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +0.1% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Baltimore Orioles or Tampa Bay Rays that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers | 24 | 33.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 20, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 15, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 25 | 20.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 14, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 22 | 27.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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