MLB · Fri, May 29, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Guardians
Final score: Boston Red Sox 3 – 4 Cleveland Guardians. 5 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.83 | +3.5% | WIN |
| Game Total | under | 8 | 1.88 | +1.9% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.00 | +27.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Slade Cecconi | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.17 | +13.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +5.5% | 0 | WIN |
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