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MLB · Fri, May 29, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Guardians
Final score: Boston Red Sox 3 · 4 Cleveland Guardians. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.83 | +3.5% | WIN |
| Game Total | under | 8 | 1.88 | +1.9% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.00 | +27.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +16.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +14.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Slade Cecconi | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.17 | +13.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.49 | +12.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +5.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +5.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +5.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +3.8% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cleveland Guardians or Boston Red Sox that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Oct 20, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 15, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 25 | 20.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 14, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 22 | 27.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 13, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians | 31 | 19.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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