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MLB · Sat, May 30, 2026
Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals
Final score: Chicago Cubs 6 · 1 St. Louis Cardinals. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.19 | +20.7% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.85 | +7.6% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +36.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ben Brown | Chicago Cubs | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 2.04 | +36.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| Kyle Leahy | St. Louis Cardinals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.85 | +29.9% | 4 | WIN |
| Ian Happ | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.41 | +23.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.39 | +16.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +8.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Ivan Herrera | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +7.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryan Torres | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.68 | +1.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.61 | +1.1% | 8 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving St. Louis Cardinals or Chicago Cubs that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres | 27 | 25.9% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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