MLB · Sun, May 31, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Guardians
Final score: Boston Red Sox 9 – 4 Cleveland Guardians. 6 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.93 | +1.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.19 | +45.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.97 | +33.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.31 | +1.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.69 | +0.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Mickey Gasper | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.31 | +0.3% | 1 | LOSS |
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