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MLB · Tue, Jun 2, 2026
Kansas City Royals at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: Kansas City Royals 3 · 4 Cincinnati Reds. 15 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 9 | 1.91 | +3.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane Myers | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.52 | +57.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Dane Myers | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +27.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Lane Thomas | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +25.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Starling Marte | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.58 | +25.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Tyler Tolbert | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.79 | +23.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Nick Loftin | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +19.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Tyler Stephenson | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +14.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Matt McLain | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.66 | +14.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +10.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Eugenio Suarez | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +6.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.64 | +6.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +6.2% | 0 | WIN |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.61 | +3.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Salvador Perez | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +2.5% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cincinnati Reds or Kansas City Royals that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 26 | 50.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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