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MLB · Wed, Jun 3, 2026
Kansas City Royals at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: Kansas City Royals 5 · 2 Cincinnati Reds. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.93 | +6.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Burns | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 2.08 | +22.6% | 9 | LOSS |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.93 | +19.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Tyler Stephenson | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +12.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Stephen Kolek | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.05 | +9.1% | 8 | WIN |
| Spencer Steer | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +9.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.05 | +8.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Carter Jensen | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +6.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Eugenio Suarez | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.64 | +5.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.37 | +5.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +4.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.59 | +4.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.05 | +2.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Blake Dunn | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +2.5% | 5 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cincinnati Reds or Kansas City Royals that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 26 | 50.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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