MLB · Fri, Jun 5, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 3 – 6 Atlanta Braves. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.95 | +11.4% | WIN |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.67 | +10.9% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.10 | +51.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.84 | +40.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.65 | +33.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.91 | +33.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.06 | +30.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.50 | +28.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Austin Riley | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.02 | +21.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Dominic Smith | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.00 | +19.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Nick Gonzales | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.86 | +14.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.75 | +14.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.44 | +11.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +5.8% | 2 | LOSS |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.