Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Fri, Jun 5, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 3 · 6 Atlanta Braves. 22 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.95 | +11.4% | WIN |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.67 | +10.9% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.10 | +51.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.84 | +40.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +33.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.65 | +33.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.91 | +33.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +32.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.06 | +30.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.50 | +28.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +27.6% | n/a | PUSH |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +27.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.48 | +22.3% | n/a | PUSH |
| Austin Riley | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.02 | +21.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.43 | +21.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dominic Smith | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.00 | +19.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Nick Gonzales | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.86 | +14.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.75 | +14.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.30 | +14.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.44 | +11.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +5.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.88 | +0.3% | 2 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Atlanta Braves or Pittsburgh Pirates that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 23.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 6, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 26.7% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 5, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 3, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 2, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 36.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.