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MLB · Sun, Jun 7, 2026
Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays
Final score: Baltimore Orioles 4 · 6 Toronto Blue Jays. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.18 | +3.5% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.88 | +2.5% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +23.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ernie Clement | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +17.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +15.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +12.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kevin Gausman | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.68 | +12.1% | 5 | WIN |
| Samuel Basallo | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +7.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nathan Lukes | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +1.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Shane Baz | Baltimore Orioles | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.63 | +0.8% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Toronto Blue Jays or Baltimore Orioles that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 26 | 50.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 21, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles | 8 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 19, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Texas Rangers | 14 | 64.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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