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MLB · Wed, Jun 10, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 5 · 5 San Diego Padres. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.97 | +9.1% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 2.02 | +6.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.34 | +68.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.26 | +51.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Rodolfo Duran | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.94 | +37.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Sung-Mun Song | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.93 | +23.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.99 | +18.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael King | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.63 | +14.9% | 3 | WIN |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.79 | +13.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.63 | +5.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.68 | +4.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Chase Burns | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.83 | +3.6% | 7 | LOSS |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +0.2% | 5 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving San Diego Padres or Cincinnati Reds that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 8, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | 26 | 30.8% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers | 36 | 33.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres | 27 | 25.9% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 26 | 50.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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