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MLB · Mon, Jun 15, 2026
Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals
Final score: Kansas City Royals 3 · 7 Washington Nationals. 22 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.74 | +11.2% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 9 | 1.88 | +3.9% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Loftin | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.65 | +45.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Carter Jensen | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.43 | +41.6% | 1 | WIN |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.63 | +37.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.74 | +29.6% | 2 | WIN |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.10 | +26.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Keibert Ruiz | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.68 | +25.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.65 | +23.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Lane Thomas | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +21.6% | 1 | WIN |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +19.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Curtis Mead | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.76 | +12.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +11.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.61 | +6.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dylan Crews | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +6.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +5.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Keibert Ruiz | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +5.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Starling Marte | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.33 | +4.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Andrew Alvarez | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.06 | +2.8% | 5 | WIN |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +2.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Salvador Perez | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.58 | +0.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Maikel Garcia | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +0.1% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Nationals or Kansas City Royalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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