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MLB · Mon, Jun 15, 2026
New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: New York Mets 0 · 12 Cincinnati Reds. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.14 | +8.7% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.88 | +1.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +35.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +34.9% | 5 | WIN |
| Chase Burns | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.73 | +21.8% | 7 | WIN |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +7.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +4.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| A.J. Ewing | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.78 | +3.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.56 | +0.4% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cincinnati Reds or New York Metsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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