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MLB · Wed, Jun 17, 2026
Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals
Final score: Kansas City Royals 6 · 2 Washington Nationals. 23 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.74 | +13.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kameron Misner | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.65 | +49.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.56 | +22.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.04 | +22.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.30 | +17.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Carter Jensen | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.78 | +13.2% | 8 | LOSS |
| Curtis Mead | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.56 | +12.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +12.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Zack Littell | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.16 | +12.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.37 | +11.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.54 | +11.7% | 0 | WIN |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.04 | +10.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Salvador Perez | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.69 | +8.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Dylan Crews | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.51 | +5.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Carter Jensen | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.46 | +2.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +2.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Dylan Crews | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +2.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.53 | +1.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.46 | +1.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.74 | +1.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Kameron Misner | Kansas City Royals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.75 | +0.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.51 | +0.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Massey | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +0.0% | 4 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Nationals or Kansas City Royalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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