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MLB · Wed, Jun 17, 2026
Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Miami Marlins 12 · 4 Philadelphia Phillies. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 9 | 1.95 | +7.3% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.85 | +0.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.99 | +22.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +13.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Andrew Painter | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.72 | +12.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Heriberto Hernandez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.61 | +10.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.02 | +9.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +8.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| Liam Hicks | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +7.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Xavier Edwards | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +4.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +3.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.84 | +2.9% | 6 | WIN |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.66 | +2.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| Kyle Stowers | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.65 | +2.2% | 11 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Philadelphia Phillies or Miami Marlinsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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