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MLB · Wed, Jun 17, 2026
New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: New York Mets 9 · 1 Cincinnati Reds. 18 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.71 | +41.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.88 | +36.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +33.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.42 | +19.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Eugenio Suarez | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.70 | +13.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.00 | +13.3% | 4 | WIN |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.56 | +9.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +9.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| Nick Lodolo | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.68 | +5.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.31 | +4.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Francisco Alvarez | New York Mets | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.43 | +3.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Francisco Alvarez | New York Mets | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +3.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.83 | +3.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| Marcus Semien | New York Mets | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +2.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Nolan McLean | New York Mets | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.68 | +1.9% | 9 | LOSS |
| Mark Vientos | New York Mets | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +1.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Noelvi Marte | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.31 | +1.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +0.7% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cincinnati Reds or New York Metsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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