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MLB · Thu, Jun 18, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at Athletics
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 12 · 4 Athletics. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 10 | 1.89 | +14.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Triolo | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.65 | +31.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +24.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Nick Kurtz | Athletics | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +23.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Nick Gonzales | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.85 | +14.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +13.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Aaron Civale | Athletics | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.78 | +13.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Braxton Ashcraft | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 1.96 | +11.5% | 7 | WIN |
| Tyler Soderstrom | Athletics | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +9.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Shea Langeliers | Athletics | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.75 | +8.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Endy Rodriguez | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.64 | +7.9% | n/a | PUSH |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.90 | +7.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Zack Gelof | Athletics | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +4.8% | 4 | WIN |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +2.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| Nick Gonzales | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +0.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jacob Wilson | Athletics | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +0.1% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Athletics or Pittsburgh Piratesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Athletics | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 7 | 28.6% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Athletics at Cleveland Guardians | 9 | 33.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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