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MLB · Sat, Jun 20, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 3 · 4 Colorado Rockies. 23 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 11.5 | 1.95 | +10.8% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.70 | +3.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Cook | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.67 | +113.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.95 | +84.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Billy Cook | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +55.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Nick Gonzales | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 2.20 | +35.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jared Triolo | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.70 | +34.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| Marcell Ozuna | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.94 | +30.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.72 | +24.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Nick Gonzales | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.73 | +23.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Marcell Ozuna | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +22.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.64 | +21.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Jared Triolo | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +18.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Endy Rodriguez | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +16.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Endy Rodriguez | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.75 | +15.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Kyle Freeland | Colorado Rockies | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.30 | +14.1% | 8 | WIN |
| Cole Carrigg | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +12.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +10.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Spencer Horwitz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +8.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.83 | +6.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tyler Freeman | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +5.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +4.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.81 | +2.0% | 2 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Colorado Rockies or Pittsburgh Piratesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 14 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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