Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sun, Jun 21, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners
Final score: Boston Red Sox 5 · 1 Seattle Mariners. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.79 | +7.2% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 6.5 | 1.88 | +2.8% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Refsnyder | Seattle Mariners | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.96 | +37.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Logan Gilbert | Seattle Mariners | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 2.12 | +31.5% | 8 | LOSS |
| Connelly Early | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 2.20 | +25.0% | 7 | LOSS |
| Julio Rodriguez | Seattle Mariners | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +10.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.68 | +8.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Payton Tolle | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.65 | +5.9% | 2 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Seattle Mariners or Boston Red Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | 27 | 22.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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