Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sun, Jun 21, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Houston Astros
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 1 · 2 Houston Astros. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.74 | +5.5% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai-Wei Teng | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.77 | +51.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.92 | +23.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.38 | +17.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +15.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Slade Cecconi | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.65 | +14.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +11.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Jose Altuve | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.48 | +9.8% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Houston Astros or Cleveland Guardiansthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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