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MLB · Mon, Jun 22, 2026
Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays
Final score: Houston Astros 2 · 4 Toronto Blue Jays. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.80 | +6.5% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 2.00 | +4.8% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | over | 6.5 | 2.13 | +27.5% | 8 | WIN |
| Ernie Clement | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.57 | +26.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Hunter Brown | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 1.95 | +13.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.61 | +8.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Nathan Lukes | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.70 | +2.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.55 | +0.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Cam Smith | Houston Astros | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.93 | +0.2% | n/a | PUSH |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Toronto Blue Jays or Houston Astrosthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 21, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles | 8 | 37.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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