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MLB · Tue, Jun 23, 2026
Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres
Final score: Atlanta Braves 0 · 1 San Diego Padres. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.93 | +10.2% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 2.05 | +1.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.30 | +31.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +20.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Grant Holmes | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.70 | +19.3% | 4 | WIN |
| Rodolfo Duran | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.76 | +17.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Samad Taylor | San Diego Padres | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.66 | +10.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.60 | +4.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.58 | +1.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +1.2% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving San Diego Padres or Atlanta Bravesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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