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MLB · Tue, Jun 23, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Colorado Rockies
Final score: Boston Red Sox 2 · 3 Colorado Rockies. 27 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.04 | +13.3% | WIN |
| Game Total | under | 11.5 | 1.97 | +11.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Fulford | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.15 | +36.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jake Bennett | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.93 | +34.7% | 9 | WIN |
| Ryan Feltner | Colorado Rockies | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.99 | +31.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Carlos Narvaez | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.65 | +28.9% | n/a | PUSH |
| Caleb Durbin | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +22.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Mickey Gasper | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.74 | +22.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Caleb Durbin | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.78 | +20.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.64 | +19.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Marcelo Mayer | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +18.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Ezequiel Tovar | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.72 | +16.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Jake McCarthy | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.48 | +13.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Tyler Freeman | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +12.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Tyler Freeman | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.71 | +12.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +12.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +11.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Mickey Gasper | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +11.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +9.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +9.0% | 1 | WIN |
| TJ Rumfield | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +8.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Willi Castro | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +7.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Kyle Karros | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +6.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Willi Castro | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.75 | +6.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Cole Carrigg | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | +1.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.80 | +0.7% | 0 | WIN |
| TJ Rumfield | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.03 | +0.2% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Colorado Rockies or Boston Red Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 14 | 42.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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