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MLB · Wed, Jun 24, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Colorado Rockies
Final score: Boston Red Sox 6 · 8 Colorado Rockies. 29 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.39 | +29.9% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 11 | 1.90 | +8.4% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 10.5 | 1.95 | +4.7% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.57 | +0.1% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Sullivan | Colorado Rockies | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.98 | +39.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| Carlos Narvaez | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.69 | +32.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Braxton Fulford | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.10 | +31.4% | n/a | PUSH |
| Andruw Monasterio | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.73 | +27.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| Caleb Durbin | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +26.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +25.4% | n/a | PUSH |
| Caleb Durbin | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.85 | +23.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Andruw Monasterio | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +21.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.64 | +20.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.64 | +17.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Nate Eaton | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +17.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +15.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 2.00 | +14.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Kyle Freeland | Colorado Rockies | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.17 | +14.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| Sonny Gray | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.67 | +11.2% | 11 | LOSS |
| TJ Rumfield | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +10.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.98 | +9.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tyler Freeman | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +8.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Tyler Freeman | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.65 | +7.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jake McCarthy | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +7.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Nate Eaton | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.71 | +5.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Willi Castro | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +4.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Cole Carrigg | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +4.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Ranger Suarez | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.64 | +3.0% | 9 | WIN |
| Willi Castro | Colorado Rockies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +0.0% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Colorado Rockies or Boston Red Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 14 | 42.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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