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MLB · Wed, Jun 24, 2026
Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays
Final score: Houston Astros 3 · 1 Toronto Blue Jays. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.35 | +6.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.90 | +37.2% | n/a | PUSH |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +34.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.59 | +28.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.71 | +26.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mike Burrows | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.76 | +23.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| Ernie Clement | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.51 | +23.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Isaac Paredes | Houston Astros | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.95 | +21.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.43 | +17.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Alejandro Kirk | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.69 | +9.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alejandro Kirk | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +5.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.70 | +4.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Trey Yesavage | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.89 | +3.6% | 5 | WIN |
| Nathan Lukes | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.59 | +3.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +2.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Daulton Varsho | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.43 | +0.6% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Toronto Blue Jays or Houston Astrosthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 21, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles | 8 | 37.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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