Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Jun 27, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 9 · 7 Pittsburgh Pirates. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.98 | +4.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +32.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +18.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.36 | +17.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jared Jones | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.90 | +17.0% | 4 | WIN |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +16.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Chase Burns | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.64 | +14.0% | 10 | LOSS |
| Konnor Griffin | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.53 | +12.7% | 5 | WIN |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +9.7% | 5 | WIN |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.61 | +2.6% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Pittsburgh Pirates or Cincinnati Redsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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