Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Jul 4, 2026
Baltimore Orioles at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: Baltimore Orioles 8 · 5 Cincinnati Reds. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.01 | +4.5% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +12.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Adley Rutschman | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +9.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | +8.6% | 4 | WIN |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | +7.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +5.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Blaze Alexander | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +4.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.87 | +3.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.59 | +0.3% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cincinnati Reds or Baltimore Oriolesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 13 | 15.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.