Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sun, Jul 5, 2026
Baltimore Orioles at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: Baltimore Orioles 2 · 3 Cincinnati Reds. 22 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.91 | +2.9% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.84 | +48.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.69 | +31.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Nick Lodolo | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.95 | +27.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Kyle Bradish | Baltimore Orioles | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.82 | +22.0% | 5 | WIN |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.63 | +19.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.58 | +14.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +14.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Blaze Alexander | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.65 | +13.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| Eugenio Suarez | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.79 | +13.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +13.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Tyler O'Neill | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.41 | +12.8% | 0 | WIN |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +11.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.26 | +8.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Coby Mayo | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +8.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Taylor Ward | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.41 | +6.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Adley Rutschman | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +5.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.06 | +5.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +5.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Edwin Arroyo | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.31 | +3.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +2.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Taylor Ward | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +1.2% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cincinnati Reds or Baltimore Oriolesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 13 | 15.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.