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MLB · Tue, Jul 7, 2026
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres
Final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 8 · 0 San Diego Padres. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.93 | +12.2% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.95 | +0.4% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Campusano | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.55 | +42.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ketel Marte | Arizona Diamondbacks | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.72 | +26.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.80 | +23.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +23.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Walker Buehler | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.33 | +22.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| Ketel Marte | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +17.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.58 | +5.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Cronenworth | San Diego Padres | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.28 | +0.4% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving San Diego Padres or Arizona Diamondbacksthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres | 6 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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