Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Wed, Jul 8, 2026
Atlanta Braves at Pittsburgh Pirates
Final score: Atlanta Braves 3 · 0 Pittsburgh Pirates. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.99 | +4.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +29.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.37 | +28.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.10 | +19.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.53 | +17.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +17.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +16.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.63 | +14.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.04 | +11.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +11.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +9.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +0.3% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Pittsburgh Pirates or Atlanta Bravesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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