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MLB · Wed, Jul 8, 2026
Houston Astros at Washington Nationals
Final score: Houston Astros 2 · 8 Washington Nationals. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +28.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +21.3% | 4 | WIN |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +19.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Spencer Arrighetti | Houston Astros | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.75 | +14.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.79 | +14.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Foster Griffin | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.18 | +4.1% | 9 | WIN |
| Curtis Mead | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +4.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +0.8% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Nationals or Houston Astrosthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 8 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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