Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Thu, Jul 9, 2026
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres
Final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 4 · 10 San Diego Padres. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.23 | +8.6% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.30 | +24.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jose Cabrera | Arizona Diamondbacks | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.71 | +23.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Rodolfo Duran | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.82 | +23.2% | n/a | PUSH |
| Ketel Marte | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +20.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Sung-Mun Song | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.91 | +18.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Gabriel Moreno | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +1.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Michael King | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.75 | +0.3% | 4 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving San Diego Padres or Arizona Diamondbacksthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres | 6 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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