Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Thu, Jul 9, 2026
Kansas City Royals at New York Mets
Final score: Kansas City Royals 3 · 7 New York Mets. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.23 | +0.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Manaea | New York Mets | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 2.19 | +31.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.95 | +13.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.48 | +11.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +8.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Michael Wacha | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.76 | +4.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Carter Jensen | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +0.0% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Mets or Kansas City Royalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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