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MLB · Thu, Jul 9, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 1 · 0 Cincinnati Reds. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.42 | +34.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +23.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jesus Luzardo | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.76 | +18.4% | 11 | LOSS |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +15.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.85 | +13.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +11.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +11.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Brady Singer | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.61 | +10.4% | 5 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +7.6% | 0 | WIN |
| J.T. Realmuto | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +6.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.69 | +3.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.81 | +1.8% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cincinnati Reds or Philadelphia Philliesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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