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MLB · Sun, Jul 12, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 5 · 2 Miami Marlins. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.88 | +0.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heriberto Hernandez | Miami Marlins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.09 | +30.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +28.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.79 | +20.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Kyle Stowers | Miami Marlins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.72 | +20.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Esteury Ruiz | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.87 | +19.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +8.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Xavier Edwards | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.40 | +7.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Javier Sanoja | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +5.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Tyler Phillips | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | under | 3.5 | 1.68 | +5.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.26 | +1.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Esteury Ruiz | Miami Marlins | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.25 | +1.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Kyle Manzardo | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.43 | +0.2% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Miami Marlins or Cleveland Guardians that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Oct 20, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 15, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 25 | 20.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 14, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 22 | 27.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 13, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians | 31 | 19.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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